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Industrial Securities' investment strategy for the construction industry in 2025: internal and external resonance, optimistic about debt conversion and the "Belt and Road" industry, Industrial Securities Research Report said that the construction industry will face certain pressure in 2024, and it is expected that infrastructure investment will remain high in 2025, driven by the debt conversion policy. Review and prospect of plate market: central state-owned enterprises and design plates led the gains, with obvious excess returns. Main line 1: Debt conversion is expected to drive the improvement of the management quality of construction central enterprises. 1) The driving force and mode of action of this debt conversion can be compared with the "Belt and Road" market in 2014 and the PPP market in 2016, and the policy is driven from top to bottom. 2) The institutions' positions in construction central enterprises are low, and the valuation of construction central enterprises is also in the lower position of the historical center. 3) The unprecedented intensity of debt conversion will help the central enterprises to realize the double promotion of EPS and PE. Main Line 2: The Belt and Road Initiative is expected to accelerate and benefit international engineering enterprises. The "Belt and Road" market has accelerated its expansion, and international engineering enterprises are expected to accelerate their going out to sea, and their performance and valuation have both improved.Morgan Stanley lowered Macy's target price from $17.00 to $16.00.Yuanda Environmental Protection: It is planned to invest in the flue gas treatment franchise project of 2× 1,000 MW units in Huainan Pingwei Power Plant Phase IV, reaching the environmental protection announcement. The franchise company, a wholly-owned subsidiary, plans to set up Pingwei Branch, build desulfurization, denitrification and dust removal facilities based on the 2× 1,000 MW units in Pingwei Power Plant Phase IV, and sign a franchise contract with Pingwei Power Plant to carry out the flue gas treatment franchise business. The static investment of the project is 641 million yuan, the dynamic investment is 662 million yuan, and the franchise period is not less than 20 years. It is estimated that the total annual profit of the project is 18.89 million yuan and the average annual net profit is 13.45 million yuan. This transaction will help Yuanda Environmental Protection to further expand its market in Anhui and surrounding areas, obtain long-term stable income and form new profit growth points.

CITIC Securities: There is no need to be overly pessimistic about the export of home appliances catalyzed by state subsidies. CITIC Securities Research Report said that domestically, the sales data of white electricity and black electricity continued to improve under the support of state subsidies. Externally, the overall export exposure of home appliance enterprises to the United States is relatively limited, so there is no need to be overly pessimistic. Looking forward to the future, the domestic demand stimulus policy is expected to be further overweight, and it is suggested to focus on white power enterprises that benefit from state subsidies; Optional sectors where domestic demand is expected to reverse (small household appliances, projection).Li Tie's case will be pronounced in the first instance tomorrow. The court has informed his defender of the well-known football player Li Tie, the former head coach of China National Men's Football Team (hereinafter referred to as "China Men's Football Team"), that the case will be pronounced in public by the Intermediate People's Court of Xianning City, Hubei Province tomorrow, that is, December 13, 2024, Beijing time. In the previous court hearing, although Li Tie said that he "pleaded guilty and repented", he did not "plead guilty and admit punishment". (Economic Observer)Gao Weibing: Guangzhou Institute will improve the variety layout of new energy and new materials. On December 12th, 2024 China New Energy and New Materials Industry Conference was held in Guangzhou. Gao Weibing, Party Secretary and Chairman of Guangzhou Futures Exchange, said that in the near future, Guangzhou Futures Exchange will launch polysilicon futures and options to form a linkage with industrial silicon, providing more effective price signals and risk management tools for the photovoltaic industry chain. In the next step, Guangzhou Institute will thoroughly implement the spirit of "Opinions on Strengthening Supervision and Preventing Risks to Promote the High-quality Development of Futures Market", based on the fundamental purpose of serving the real economy and the characteristic orientation of serving the green development, improve the variety layout of new energy and new materials, increase market cultivation, continuously enrich the supervision toolbox, and strive to ensure the safe and stable operation of the market and better serve the needs of the real economy. (China Nonferrous Metals News)

This round of Palestinian-Israeli conflict has caused more than 44,800 deaths in the Gaza. On the afternoon of December 12, the health department in Gaza issued a statement saying that since the new round of Palestinian-Israeli conflict broke out on October 7 last year, 44,835 Palestinians have been killed and 106,356 others have been injured by Israeli military operations in the Gaza. (CCTV News)Polish Prime Minister: There is no plan to send troops to Ukraine after the ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine. On December 12, local time, Polish Prime Minister Tusk said after meeting with French President Macron that the decision on whether to send troops to Ukraine after the ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine will be made by Poland itself. At present, Poland has no such plan. In addition, Baussac, deputy speaker of the Polish House of Representatives, said at a news conference that sending troops to Ukraine was not in the interests of Poland, the EU and NATO. He expressed firm opposition to this. Baussac said that the Polish government should clearly and directly state its position and refuse to send troops to Ukraine. Polish Prime Minister Tusk said on the 10th that peace talks on the Russian-Ukrainian conflict may start this winter. Tusk said at the government meeting that Poland will take over the rotating presidency of the European Union in January next year, when Poland will play an important role in the negotiations on the Russian-Ukrainian conflict. He said that peace talks may start this winter, and Poland will participate in the arrangement of the political agenda and even lead the development of the situation during the negotiations. (CCTV News)Institution: The Swiss National Bank does not need to cut interest rates sharply again. Melanie Debono, a macroeconomic analyst at Pantheon, wrote in a report that the Swiss National Bank does not need to cut borrowing costs sharply again. Earlier, the Swiss National Bank unexpectedly cut interest rates by 50 basis points. Most analysts had expected a more cautious rate cut of 25 basis points. Debono said that there may be further relaxation after this move, but only a little. Pantheon Macroeconomics predicts that the Swiss National Bank will cut interest rates by 25 basis points again in March next year.